The TimesFebruary 17, 2006
Waterworld: how life on Earth will look 1,000 years from now By Nigel Hawkes
By the next millennium the global map will have been redrawn by disastrous climate changes, according to a new forecast
The solution, the team says, is to reduce emissions to zero by 2200.
I think they really mean 2020, not 2200.
By 2200, even the most delusional predictions admit that fossil fuels will be gone by then.
The message is that the world can afford to burn only about a quarter of its known reserves of fossil fuels. This implies a small increase in global emissions up to 2025, and reducing and eliminating them by 2200.
Since we are near or at Peak Oil, by 2025 there will be considerable decline in emissions from oil and natural gas.
While there will be continued use of coal, shifting toward "clean coal" and coal gasification would speed up depletion of coal. Not all coal is retrievable. The rate of coal extraction is unlikely to increase much (it's already at tremendous levels worldwide). Many of the best seams of coal have been extracted (a reason for mountaintop removal).
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